2024 November Odds Tracker: Trump Poll Numbers Dropping, Odds Still Dead Even

Written by:
t c jackson
Published on:
Apr/15/2024

The 2024 US presidential election is nearly set with two presumptive candidates.  Former president Donald Trump is the front runner for the Republican ticket while current president Joe Biden sits atop the ticket for the Democrats.

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Trump has been a slight favorite dating back to late September 2023, well before the GOP primaries and caucuses began.  Biden drew even by the first weekend of April 2024.

As of April 11, 2024, both Biden and Trump were in a dead heat at -105 odds.

US Presidential Odds Tracker

All US presidential odds courtesy of BetOnline with live updated odds here

April 15, 2024: Biden -105, Trump -105

April 11, 2024: Biden -105, Trump -105

April 7, 2024: Trump +100, Biden +100

April 5, 2024: Trump -110, Biden +120

March 12, 2024: Trump -110, Biden +150

March 8, 2024: Trump +100, Biden +150

January 17, 2024: Trump -100, Biden +200

December 20, 2023: Trump +115, Biden +200

September 26, 2023: Trump +165, Biden +175

June 21, 2023: Biden +150, Trump +200

May 10, 2023: Biden +125, Trump +250

Trump Poll Numbers Sagging

(April 15, 2024) - Biden has extended his lead over Trump from one point in March (39 percent to 38 percent) to four points in April (41 percent to 37 percent), according to a recent Reuters/Ipsos survey of 833 registered voters.

Biden has mostly erased the 5-point lead held by Trump in March in a NYT/Siena poll. That poll showed that Trump and Biden are virtually tied as of April 15, with Trump holding a one-point lead, 46 percent to 45 percent over the incumbent.

Polls Show Biden Pushing Ahead

(April 11, 2024) - A number of polls now show Biden moving ahead of Trump. 

A recent Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted between April 5 and April 9 show Biden at 31 percent and Trump at 27 percent.  The poll also shows that some 22% of registered voters have yet to pick a candidate.  Some were leaning toward third-party options or might not vote at all.

A Marquette poll conducted two weeks prior showed Biden up four percentage points as well.

- T.C. Jackson, Gambling911.com

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